China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.People's Daily: Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend". At present, the ability of artificial intelligence is comparable to that of human brain in many aspects, but it cannot accurately distinguish right from wrong in terms of value. This means that it is necessary to strengthen the supervision and regulation of artificial intelligence from many aspects. In recent years, many countries, including China, have introduced artificial intelligence development plans, management methods and supervision principles, precisely to ensure that technology truly serves people and benefits society. No matter how far artificial intelligence develops, it all comes from human design and is an extension of human wisdom. Artificial intelligence is doing more and more work and becoming more and more intelligent. We must take precautions to ensure that it is always a "friend".CICC: Cloud and terminal AI landing In 2025, the localization of semiconductors and components ushered in a new cycle. According to CICC's research report, in 2024, semiconductors and components as a whole were in the upward stage of prosperity. It is expected that inventory, supply and demand will stabilize in 2025, and AI cloud and terminal demand will land, and domestic elements will usher in a new cycle. It is expected that in 2025, the AI replacement tide is expected to accelerate the downstream demand growth of the semiconductor design sector. We are optimistic about the demand expansion of cloud and end-side computing chips driven by AI, and the alpha level of individual stocks is optimistic about the pull of product structure expansion on the performance of related companies, and it is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities brought by mergers and acquisitions for some tracks. It is expected that the supply and demand of chip manufacturing will approach a balance in 2025, and the capacity utilization rate will remain at a reasonable level; Among them, the research and development of advanced process manufacturing is expected to continue to advance, driving the development of equipment, parts, materials and design tools.
CITIC Jiantou: The domestic cross-border e-commerce industrial chain has been gradually improved. CITIC Jiantou said that from 2010 to 2014, China's cross-border e-commerce entered a stage of rapid development. With the rise of mobile Internet infrastructure and the penetration rate of overseas cross-border e-commerce giants in the Mainland, the supporting facilities of the industrial chain have been gradually improved, subdivided and specialized, relevant policies have continued to exert their strength, and the customs supervision model has gradually become clear; Cross-border e-commerce industry chain is long, and there are relatively many hidden risk points because it involves cross-border. The cost structure of each link is mainly different due to the differences in participation roles, platform models, product types, warehousing and logistics structures, etc. Overall, the current cost structure is relatively stable, but there is also a large room for optimization. The degree of specialization and refinement of service providers will be improved, and the overall control, collaboration and empowerment of the industry chain and the refined arrangement led by big data and industry cognition will become one of the core competitiveness.Meta released a new AI tool, which can enhance the experience of the Meta-universe. On Thursday, the American technology giant Meta said that it would release an artificial intelligence model called Meta Motivo, which can control the actions of a digital agent similar to human beings and may enhance the experience of the meta-universe. According to the company, Meta Motivo solves the common body control problems in digital avatars, enabling them to exercise in a more realistic and human-like way. "We believe that this research can pave the way for a fully concrete agent in the meta-universe, resulting in a more realistic NPC (non-player character), democratization of character animation, and a new immersive experience."Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.
The Australian stock market fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, led by mining stocks. The Australian stock market fell with the US stock market on Friday, with mining stocks falling the most. The day before, the unemployment rate in Australia fell sharply in November, prompting investors to reduce their bets on interest rate cuts in February. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.7% to 8276.5, the fourth consecutive trading day. The benchmark fell by about 1.6% this week, the biggest weekly decline since early August.Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.This year's performance is the worst since the epidemic, and Starbucks will reduce the salary increase for its employees. An internal document shows that in view of the company's worst financial performance since the epidemic, Starbucks will reduce the salary increase for its coffee shop employees. According to different qualifications, this year's salary increase is generally between 2% and 3%, while last year's salary increase was at least 3%, and employees who have served for five years or more were at least 5%. The salary increase will take effect on December 30, and employees will see the change of payroll on January 10 or January 17.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13